Our latest Climate Radar (Q4 2017) found four key upcoming threats to EU security: the misuse of geoengineering to alter the climate, the absence of trustworthy technologies able to remove CO2 from the air, the threat posed by tropical forests that have now become carbon emission sources, and the highly negative effects due to some EU countries retaining coal as a key source of energy. It also features an assessment of the threat for the next five years, predicting an increase in climate risks.
This is part of the The Clingendael Radar Series, which is a horizon scan from the Clingendael Strategic Foresight Programme focusing on threats to EU security in the next five years. It uses various techniques ranging from the manual scanning of recent and relevant literature, conferences organised by relevant organisations, and a scan of Twitter feeds and validated expert input. We select developments based upon their novelty and potential impact on European security.