Our latest Migration Radar (Q4 2017) found four key upcoming trends pertaining to EU security: the absence of long-term EU-wide migration policies, destabilisation of strategic regions, chronic uncertainty around the EU-Turkey deal and the absence consideration of positive effects of migration. It also features an assessment of the trend for the next five years, predicting an increase in migratory pressures to the EU.
This is part of the The Clingendael Radar Series, which is a horizon scan from the Clingendael Strategic Foresight Programme focusing on threats to EU security in the next five years. It uses various techniques ranging from the manual scanning of recent and relevant literature, conferences organised by relevant organisations, and a scan of Twitter feeds and validated expert input. We select developments based upon their novelty and potential impact on European security.