Strategic Monitor 2017-Cybersecurity

This thematic study attempts to make estimates in the field of cybersecurity for 2021. Although forecasting has always been a challenge, that applies even more to cybersecurity than to the other contributions. Cybersecurity experts regularly joke that there are two types of organisations: organisations that have been hacked and organisations that don’t yet realise they have been hacked. In other words, good, reliable information is often difficult to find. This study nevertheless attempts to make a number of estimates on the basis of observed trends. The contribution opens with a threat assessment and then works towards an analysis of international cooperation in the cyber domain. The conclusion is that digital threats are set to increase rapidly, while international cooperation in the field is still in its infancy. At the same time, improvements are expected in the area of international cooperation by 2021.