Danny Pronk

Senior Research Fellow


  • Security and Defence
  • Strategic Foresight
  • Strategic Monitor
  • Global Security Pulse

Danny Pronk joined the Clingendael Institute in July 2018 and heads the Strategic Foresight programme. His research focuses on security and defence issues, particularly in relation to China and Russia, and on geopolitical trend analysis, alternative futures development, and horizon scanning.

He has over twenty years of experience as a practitioner in intelligence, a complementary aspect of international relations together with diplomacy. He started his career as an Intelligence Officer in the Royal Netherlands Air Force and has since held several senior analytical and operational leadership positions at both the Netherlands General Intelligence and Security Service (AIVD) and the Defence Intelligence and Security Service (MIVD). He has also served as an Intelligence Staff Officer (U2) in the United Nations Mission in Ethiopia and Eritrea (UNMEE), and as head of the National Intelligence Cell (NIC) at the headquarters of the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) in Afghanistan.

Danny holds a Master’s degree in Political Science (International Relations) from Leiden University, and a Bachelor’s degree in Military Arts and Sciences from the Royal Military Academy, Breda. He specializes in diplomatic, political and military history, and in strategic studies, with a special interest in the so-called “missing dimension” within the study of international relations: intelligence. He has lectured at the Universities of Amsterdam and Leiden, and at the Netherlands Defense Academy (NLDA) on the topics of intelligence analysis and strategic warning. He is currently employed as a guest researcher (Dual PhD candidate) of the Faculty of Governance and Global Affairs at Leiden University, Campus The Hague.

My work



Strategic Foresight

Global Security Pulse: Interstate Military Competition

13 March 2019 - 10:07
Strategic Foresight

Strategic Monitor 2018 - 2019

04 March 2019 - 15:45
Strategic Foresight


28 February 2019 - 14:19
Strategic Foresight

Analyzing the Future: Our Methodology

25 February 2019 - 12:16
Strategic Foresight

The return of political warfare

12 December 2018 - 12:11
Strategic Foresight

Global Security Pulse: Political violence around Europe

24 October 2018 - 14:48
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