This report takes stock of key developments since the publishing of the independent report A New Climate For Peace commissioned by G7 members. It provides a concise risk horizon scan, and an overview and assessment of key policy developments in 2015 and 2016 that are of relevance for addressing climate-fragility risks and fostering the global resilience agenda. Developments in 2015 and 2016 confirm the risk assessment of A New Climate For Peace. The intersection of accelerating impacts of climate change, the continuing increase in numbers of armed conflicts and deepening geopolitical rivalries create a deeply unsettling new normal. At the same time the international community has shown that it can act together to address global problems. The Agenda 2030, the Paris Agreement, the World Humanitarian Summit, and Habitat III all show that there are efforts to find a viable change strategy. This is mirrored by activities of the G7, the UN, the African Union and the European Union.
About the authors
Malin Mobjörk is Senior Researcher in the SIPRI climate change and security programme.
Dan Smith is Director of SIPRI.
Lukas Rüttinger is Senior Project Manager at adelphi leading the topical areas of peace and security, and resources.
Platoon commanders and non-commissioned officers of the Somali National Army (SNA) sit during a a graduation ceremony at the African Union Mission in Somalia (AMISOM) Jazira training facility in the Somali capital Mogadishu.