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8 October 2024

Separation Anxiety

How the Dutch see the United States, and the implications for Dutch foreign policy

© Shutterstock | Orhan Cam

On November 5, the United States will elect a new president. The race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris remains very tight. This survey looks at Dutch perceptions of US politics in the run-up to the US presidential elections, expectations of US foreign policy, and how the Dutch view the transatlantic security and economic relationship.

Majorities in the Netherlands

  • Think an electoral victory by Donald Trump on November 5 would have a negative impact on the US, the West and US-Dutch relations;
  • Are worried about the US elections, the state of US democracy and the impact this will have on relations with the Netherlands;
  • Think Europe is too dependent on US military support, and think European countries should cooperate more amongst themselves, particularly on defence industrial issues;
  • Believe America’s security commitment to Europe is fragile;
  • Worry about economic dependencies on the US, but want to work together with Washington to contain Chinese economic power;
  • Would support the US in a military conflict with China, either with economic sanctions or military action, or both;
  • Expect the US to prevent a military conflict with China over Taiwan, without jeopardizing international trade;
  • Do not favour a transatlantic ‘division of labour’ whereby the US focuses on Asia and Europe on its own neighbourhood;
  • Think European countries should sustain or increase their aid to Ukraine, if the US were to withdraw its support for Kyiv;
  • Seek a more sovereign and capable Europe that is able to operate independently from the United States – both in defense and economic terms – but which can cooperate with the US on the basis of a more equal footing on the major geopolitical challenges both states confront;

Download Foreign Affairs Barometer.

Authors

Programme Lead Geopolitics of Trade / Lead Clingendael US Programme / Senior Research Fellow