Conflict and Fragility

Reports and papers

The Armed Conflict Survey 2023

31 Jan 2024 - 14:16
Source: The Armed Conflict Survey. IISS

The Armed Conflict Survey is the IISS’s annual review of the political, military and humanitarian dimensions of all active conflicts, offering in-depth analysis of the drivers and dynamics of current wars. It is an essential resource for those involved in security policymaking, and an indispensable handbook for anyone conducting serious analysis of armed conflict.

Several Clingendael researchers contributed to this edition. 

Read the following chapters:

  • Mali - Grace Ellis, Mathijs Cazemier
  • Burkina Faso - Grace Ellis, Mathijs Cazemier
  • Niger - Grace Ellis, Mathijs Cazemier
  • Chad - Ornella Moderan, Mathijs Cazemier


Key features of the book

  • Overviews of key events and political and military developments from 1 May 2022–30 June 2023 for each region. 
  • Strategic analysis of national and regional drivers and conflict outlooks. 
  • Regional Analysis chapters with unique insights into the geopolitical and geo-economic threads linking conflicts across regions and globally. 
  • Regional Spotlight chapters on key trends of regional or global relevance, including shifting drug-trafficking dynamics and new conflict zones in the Americas; the centrality of security guarantees in Ukraine’s future reconstruction efforts; policy best practices to address overlapping climate, political and food-insecurity crises in North Africa; the changing nature of jihadism in Sub-Saharan Africa; and the re-emergence of the Tehrik-e-Taliban in Pakistan and its implications for Asian security. 
  • Expanded information on conflict parties. 
  • The Armed Conflict Global Relevance Indicator (ACGRI), an IISS proprietary indicator that combines measures of incidence and human impact with geopolitical impact to assess the global salience of armed conflicts. 
  • Analysis of conflict- and region-specific trends, strategic implications and prospects for peace. 
  • More than 60 full-colour maps, tables and infographics highlighting key conflict developments and data. 
  • Key statistics on violent events, fatalities, military power, geopolitical salience, refugees and internally displaced persons, among others. 
  • The 2023 Chart of Armed Conflict, depicting the global conflict landscape’s complexity through data referring to the proliferation and influence of non-state armed groups, as well as third-party involvement.  

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