Our latest Terrorism Radar (Q4 2017) found four key upcoming threats to the EU’s security, regarding ISIS women and returnees from the Balkans, the threat posed by far-right terrorists due to their increasing organisation, and Ukraine as a potential training ground for terrorists of all backgrounds. It also features an assessment of the threat for the next five years, predicting an increase in terrorist attacks in Europe.
This is part of the The Clingendael Radar Series, which is a horizon scan from the Clingendael Strategic Foresight Programme focusing on threats to EU security in the next five years. It uses various techniques ranging from the manual scanning of recent and relevant literature, conferences organised by relevant organisations, and a scan of Twitter feeds and validated expert input. We select developments based upon their novelty and potential impact on European security.