Conflict and Fragility

Reports and papers

Syria in 2013: preparing for persistent turmoil?

27 Aug 2012 - 08:59

Will Assad stay or go? Will the future intensity of the conflict be high, or low?

Three scenarios that enable a broad view of possible Syrian futures: 1) The Russian way: a political solution including the departure of Bashar al-Assad; 2) The Free Syrian Army's way: a limited international military intervention resulting in the ousting of Assad; and 3) Assad's way: survival of the Assad regime. Attention is also given to developments and possible future dynamics in the broader Middle East.