Middle East & North Africa

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Reports and papers

Drivers and strategic puzzles of Saudi modernization

06 Sep 2024 - 16:32
Source: Artist view of 'Mirror Line' is a 120-kilometers horizontal skyscraper, announced as a landmark in Neom, north of Saudi Arabia - ©Balkis Press/ABACA via Reuters Connect
This report examines the main drivers and strategic puzzles of the Saudi modernization effort as presently manifested by Vision 2030

Máté Szalai

Research Fellow
Associates are experts in their own field and contractually affiliated with Clingendael. Although associates are not employees of the Clingendael Institute, they comply with all policies that Clingendael staff do.

Expertise

  • Conflict and Fragility
  • Security and Justice

Regions

  • Middle East & North Africa

Máté Szalai is a Research Fellow at the Conflict Research Unit of Clingendael. As a member of the Middle East group, he specializes in the international relations and the domestic political economic systems of the broader Gulf region. With a background in academic and policy research, Máté has experience in conducting both theory-driven and practical analysis of the geopolitical tendencies and political economic developments in the Middle East.

My work

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Research

Conflict and Fragility

Reports and papers

UNDP’s stabilization programme in and around Mosul, 2017–2022

27 Aug 2024 - 09:57
Source: ©UNDP
Concrete, cables and civil works

Between 2014 and 2017, the occupation of northwestern Iraq by the Islamic State in the Levant and the military campaign to defeat it left chaos and destruction in its wake. Six million people were displaced and damages ran to an estimated USD 88 billion. At the time, the international community swiftly threw its support behind the Iraqi government to reconstruct the affected areas.

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Articles

La política de los países del Golfo en el Cuerno de África: su dimensión económica

06 Aug 2024 - 12:54
Source: President of the United Arab Emirates, Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan hugs the Prime Minister of Ethiopia, Abiy Ahmed in Addis Ababa / Reuters

El artículo completo ha sido publicado por IEMed.

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Articles

From permissive to tense: Sunni Baluchs and their relation with Tehran

30 Jul 2024 - 10:51
Source: ©Hessam Habibi Doroh - The Grand Makki Mosque of Zahedan, Iran.

By Hessam Habibi Doroh 

 

Editor’s introduction

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Policy briefs

Israel against Iran: regional conflict scenarios in 2024

17 Jul 2024 - 16:33
Source: ©Reuters - Smoke rises after an explosion on a ship that Houthis say is an attack by them on Greek-owned MV Tutor in the Red Sea, dated June 12, 2024
This brief outlines and discusses four scenarios for regional conflict between Israel, Iran and the United States. War is not inevitable, but actions that can prevent regional conflict must be taken before the US presidential elections.

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Policy briefs

Examining the interplay between elites and social movements in Jordan

25 Jun 2024 - 15:29
Source: ©Reuters - People hold Palestinian flags as Jordanians gather during a protest in support of Palestinians in Gaza,
Never waste a good protest
In Jordan, elites and social movements commonly develop vertical ties instead of different social movements working together to press for change bottom-up, as is more usual elsewhere.

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Reports and papers

Early Warning, Early Action

11 Jun 2024 - 10:53
Source: ©Trump White House/Flickr
An assessment of conflict potential in the Middle East in relation to Dutch national interests

Over the past three decades, interest in understanding, predicting and preventing violent conflict across different fragile and conflict-affected situations has soared. The focus on conflict prevention recognises not only the imperative of preventing the steep human costs associated with violent conflict and donor interests in stability in key regions across the world, but also rests on the idea that conflict prevention is cost-effective.

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Articles

How to complete the revolution? Khamenei´s vision and its disruption after Raisi´s death

03 Jun 2024 - 11:46
Source: Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Hosseini Khamenei(L) and late Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi ©Reuters

By Azadeh Zamirirad

Editor’s introduction

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Articles

Book: Armed Organizations and Political Elites in Civil Wars

29 May 2024 - 09:44
Source: Book cover
Pathways to Power in Syria and Iraq
This book 'Pathways to Power in Syria and Iraq' examines the relation between political settlements and civil war outbreak with a focus on options for violence available to elite factions in different settlements and at different moments in time.